DarthFed said:
Rafa's seed is set for the USO and barring anything crazy he will almost certainly finish the year ranked at least #2. This is bigger for Nole to keep a stranglehold on the #1 rank and stop the bleeding against Nadal. Nole hasn't come close to winning anything since Monte Carlo too it should be said.
That's a huge over-statement. Novak came very close to beating Rafa in the French Open, and very well could have done so if he hadn't hit the net. That match could have gone either way, and in Rafa's backyard. And then Novak lost in the Final at Wimbledon. He played the worst match I've seen him play at a Grand Slam in years, but he still made it to the final. So yeah, I disagree that he "hasn't come close to winning anything since Monte Carlo."
That said, I agree that Rafa is closing on him. Rafa's still up by almost 800 points in the Race rankings, and will be ahead no matter what happens today. By the time the WTF rolls around they could be neck and neck. However, I have a hard time imagining Rafa winning WTF. Its probably going to be either Andy or Novak, unless Roger discovers the fountain of youth.