Controversial Takes (present or historic)

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
- Ivan Lendl was as great as John McEnroe and Bjorn Borg, and even--gasp--Pete Sampras.

To be honest, I'm torn on this one. But every statistical angle I've taken has led me to the above conclusion. One could argue that he was better than Sampras, but less regarded because far fewer Slams. But this is largely because Lendl overlapped with the primes of more all-time greats than any other great player: Connors, Borg, McEnroe, Wilander, Edberg, Becker, and even early prime Sampras, Agassi, and peak Courier.

Disagree.

Lendl wasn't the killer in finals the way Pete was. Pete was alpha, on a par with anyone, but Lendl shrieked like a lady at times and lost how many slam finals? 11?

Of those four, it gets trickier with the 3 whose careers overlapped. Bjorn didn't play long enough - blame the tour - and Mac played too long, he was cooked after 1984, though I was shocked at the time he lost the USO final to Lendl in 1985. After this, he was struggling wehereas Lendl was much better equipped for oncoming power game. He fricking invented it, to a large extent. And I think that change there was almost as drastic as the change inflicted on the tour around 2000-ish that made it easier for the top players to accumulate titles than it ever had been before. We're still seeing the effect of that.

Still, Lendl was great, I just don't lump him anywhere near Pete, or Bjorn.
- Serena Williams is not the WTA GOAT.

I know this is the popular opinion, but is mainly based on recency bias. Navratilova and Graf were both more consistently dominant. Serena's career is patchy; she had two or three truly dominant years, but mostly she had "partially great" years in which she looked overpowering during Slams, but didn't back it up with many other titles. I think a better argument is whether she or Evert belongs at #3 (or Court, if you consider pre-Open Era).

Agree. Martina is.
- Andy Murray is in the same "greatness tier" as Wilander, Edberg, and Becker.

Meaning, he's well above the better 2-4 Slam winners like Vilas, Nastase, and Courier (not to mention Wawrinka, Kuerten, etc). He went deep in most Slams during his prime and won a ton of big titles - more than all three of those guys above. His 3-8 Slam final record is indicative of a great player who had the misfortune of mostly facing three GOATs. That's the same number of Slam finals as Wilander (7-4) and Edberg (6-5) and one more than Becker (6-4).

Kind of agree. But kind of don't, too.

"His 3-8 slam final record" is low compared to what was available for great players in his period, but Becker, Edberg and Wilander were bona fide number ones in a rat-race period for tennis, in the eighties and nineties. I don't think he had their tennis gifts either. Put it this way, had he come along during their era, I think they'd boss him more often than not.

And had they come along in his era, I think the same thing would happen...
 

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
If you repeat anything long enough then it seems to embed itself into an urban myth. In a decade or so, the narrative will probably be that Graf hunted Seles on horseback with a pack of hounds.
It'll always be said, brother. Soon as Seles was stabbed, Steffi immediately snaffled up four slams in a row. There's no way Seles - before the knife - was on the way to winning only one more slam...
 

britbox

Multiple Major Winner
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
28,295
Reactions
6,856
Points
113
Location
Gold Coast, Australia
It'll always be said, brother. Soon as Seles was stabbed, Steffi immediately snaffled up four slams in a row. There's no way Seles - before the knife - was on the way to winning only one more slam...
It might have been you (in a previous life) who told me Seles' father wouldn't have got cancer had Monica not been stabbed. Sliding doors eh?
 
  • Like
Reactions: Kieran

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
Andre Agassi is overrated.

Yes, he's an all-time great. But he's a big step below Connors, Lendl, Mac, and Borg, and just a bit ahead of Edberg/Becker/Wilander/Murray. Most of his edge over those guys is longevity, and he's a bit overrated because of his persona and on-court presence - from the wildboy of the early years to the seasoned vet of his latter days. I say "overrated," because I see people rank him ahead of players like Connors, Lendl, and even Laver all the time.
And ridiculously lucky too. He failed a dope test and they let him off with it, without even a public mention of it. He admits this in his (admittedly great) book. Had he done time for that - it was around 1997 - there is no way in hell he's winning any more slams, let alone nicking the career slam. He was flakey, and shady...
 

britbox

Multiple Major Winner
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
28,295
Reactions
6,856
Points
113
Location
Gold Coast, Australia
It'll always be said, brother. Soon as Seles was stabbed, Steffi immediately snaffled up four slams in a row. There's no way Seles - before the knife - was on the way to winning only one more slam...
Also followed by her biggest drought - not winning any of the next four in a row... There's actually a strange correlation between Graf's successes and her fitness levels.
 

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
It might have been you (in a previous life) who told me Seles' father wouldn't have got cancer had Monica not been stabbed. Sliding doors eh?
I hope it wasn't me, I don't think I'd say that? Would be a bad thing to say, if I did. But it definitely was a sliding doors day for her and Steffi..
 

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
Also followed by her biggest drought - not winning any of the next four in a row... There's actually a strange correlation between Graf's successes and her fitness levels.
And let's be frank, the arrival and unfortunate departure of Seles too. That impacted on Steffi as well, in different ways...
 

britbox

Multiple Major Winner
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
28,295
Reactions
6,856
Points
113
Location
Gold Coast, Australia
Not wanting to derail El Dude's thread with a Graf/Seles ping pong match - there is a thread dedicated to the rivalry.

 
  • Like
Reactions: Kieran

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
Not wanting to derail El Dude's thread with a Graf/Seles ping pong match - there is a thread dedicated to the rivalry.

Good point brother!
 
  • Like
Reactions: MargaretMcAleer

MargaretMcAleer

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 30, 2013
Messages
52,802
Reactions
33,591
Points
113
Good point brother!
I was fortunate to see Graf play live, ( FO 1999 against Hingis ) to dismiss her as not one of great female tennis players, does my head in quite frankly, her records are a testament to that fact.
 

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
I was fortunate to see Graf play live, to dismiss her as not one of great female tennis players, does my head in quite frankly, her records are a testament to that fact.
Who dismissed her? That would be truly controversial..
 

MargaretMcAleer

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 30, 2013
Messages
52,802
Reactions
33,591
Points
113
Who dismissed her? That would be truly controversial..
There has been a few posters at TF over the years, questioning her records etc, I outlined them today, as far as I am concerned she is one of the greatest female players to have played, and I have been so fortunate to see Graf play live
 

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
There has been a few posters at TF over the years, questioning her records etc, I outlined them today, as far as I am concerned she is one of the greatest female players to have played, and I have been so fortunate to see Graf play live
She’s definitely one of the greatest...
 
  • Like
Reactions: MargaretMcAleer

PhiEaglesfan712

Major Winner
Joined
Sep 7, 2022
Messages
1,543
Reactions
1,348
Points
113
Graf is an ATG (I'm not going to deny that), but there is no denying that she benefitted from having 2 Top 5 players miss a chunk of their prime years. Both things can be true.

If Seles and Capriati were healthy and available in 1993-96, there is no way that Graf wins 10 slams during that time period. Graf was beginning to decline in 1991 and 1992.
 

britbox

Multiple Major Winner
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
28,295
Reactions
6,856
Points
113
Location
Gold Coast, Australia
Graf is an ATG (I'm not going to deny that), but there is no denying that she benefitted from having 2 Top 5 players miss a chunk of their prime years. Both things can be true.

If Seles and Capriati were healthy and available in 1993-96, there is no way that Graf wins 10 slams during that time period. Graf was beginning to decline in 1991 and 1992.
Capriati didn't win a major in the entire decade of the 1990s. She was 1-7 against Graf. How is she in this conversation? She played 6 majors in the period you're referring to and never went beyond the QFs.
 

brokenshoelace

Grand Slam Champion
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
9,508
Reactions
1,433
Points
113
Love the thread. Here's my hot controversial take:

Weak competition is valid and affects legacies way more than most are willing to admit.

This also ties into longevity and why I don't value it as much as peak. Obviously it's a huge indicator of excellence, no doubt, and playing long enough to outlast your rivals and benefit from a transitional period is a testament to longevity, but it doesn't make weak competition any less valid. In fact, it reinforces it. We've all been watching tennis for a long time. Nobody can sit here and seriously argue that there hasn't been some "down times" in Tennis. Novak was a prime beneficiary where he racked up some slams in the tail end of his career post peak Fedal and pre Sincatraz. It doesn't make him any less good as god knows he's beaten Fedal enough times, but it does highlight why sheer numbers is a flawed way to look at the GOAT debate.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Kieran

brokenshoelace

Grand Slam Champion
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
9,508
Reactions
1,433
Points
113
Another one:

Randomness and luck play a huge role.

Re: Randomness. Sometimes we accept that things are the way they are for the simple reason that they just are. But what if 2 slams were played on clay? Or 2 on grass? The entire complexion of the game would be different. This isn't an outrageous hypothetical either. Hard court tennis, for a very long time, was not the de-facto surface.

Players would have to shape their games differently. Results would surely have been different. That's another reason why an undisputed GOAT is so hard to crown.

Re: Luck. I don't know if I need to elaborate on this one.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Kieran

Kieran

The GOAT
Joined
Apr 14, 2013
Messages
18,166
Reactions
8,156
Points
113
Another one:

Randomness and luck play a huge role.

Re: Randomness. Sometimes we accept that things are the way they are for the simple reason that they just are. But what if 2 slams were played on clay? Or 2 on grass? The entire complexion of the game would be different. This isn't an outrageous hypothetical either. Hard court tennis, for a very long time, was not the de-facto surface.

Players would have to shape their games differently. Results would surely have been different. That's another reason why an undisputed GOAT is so hard to crown.

Re: Luck. I don't know if I need to elaborate on this one.
I often say it and the Djokolytes sneer and hoot and gloat. They played the US Open on clay for a mere two or three years, just before Borg became Borg, then switched. It’sa no brainer to say it affected his legacy and possibly his longevity in the sport. We have a modern example too.

I rarely mention him..