Moxie
Multiple Major Winner
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2013
- Messages
- 45,361
- Reactions
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- Points
- 113
Yes, Trump seems to have turned away from Putin, but he's reacted childishly and ill-advisedly to Medvedev's taunting by talk of moving "nuclear submarines" towards Russia. Yes, we already have some in strategic positions, but nuclear saber-rattling with Russia is unwise.I can't help reflecting on my concerns regarding the Trump election. I was worried about what would happen Ukraine, concerned about NATO. Worried that Trump would enable Bibi. Well here we are.
- Trump has finally had enough of Russia. Putin's disrespect and dismissal of Trump's desire for the war to end. Medvedev's mockery of Trump and nuclear sabre rattling. I don't think Trump will flip back. This has become personal for him now. Don't provoke a sociopath. I think Putin and Medvedev have badly miscalculated
We agree that the Europeans being more self-determining, militarily, is a good thing. I'm not sure why you think the US may eventually regret that, unless you mean in terms of loss of leverage/power. We'll see. But it's not like Trump has been very generous towards Ukraine. His terrible attempt at negotiating a settlement that was very favorable towards Russia failed, and now he's lost interest, despite his promises to end the war day one.
- All that has led to increasing support for Ukraine, and the Europeans have shown they're absolutely serious about taking more control of their own military interests (something that America will probably regret).
I'm not sure what of this is good. If Trump could sway Netanyahu, how can he continue to let him starve those people in Gaza? Again, Trump seems to have lost interest.
- Bibi managed to goad Trump into bombing Iran, something that could blow back to the US in the long term, who knows. But the increasing clamour for a Palestinian State could end up being a disaster for Israeli right wingers. They want that land. I doubt they'll be able to get it. We shall see
It's hard to speculate what Harris would have tried or accomplished, but she'd have been on the side of Ukraine. Trump is only now giving more aid to Ukraine, and basically because he's pissed off at Russia.But all of this makes me reflect... if I knew before the election that this was what the foreign policy outcomes would be, I would probably have hoped that the orange one would win the election. Can't believe I'm saying this. But the reality is I don't believe Kamala would have done better for Ukraine than this. In fact I think that there was a chance that Putin would have tried to test NATO with a direct confrontation because he would never have believed she would have the stones to stand up to him. At worst I find it hard to believe that she would have been more aggressive than Biden, who sabotaged the Ukrainian counter offensive, allowing innocents to be slaughtered. I'm so disgusted by that. I don't think she would have been any better.
I can understand if your interest is in US foreign policy, though I disagree with your observations that Trump is doing so well. However, as per your above, I live here, and Trump is making a mess of our economy. And his handling of deportations is inhumane, often illegal, and incredibly divisive. It also has an effect on the economy.So yes, on reflection, this might end up being the better outcome. It's not a certain thing though... the tariffs are an abomination that will be a long term disaster for America. The fiscal package is a disaster for America. Some things she would have done better. Although immigration would most definitely have continued to be a disaster. If only the left in America would come over to London and see what a shit show it is here with all this islamophobia nonsense (if you're concerned about the things that Muslims are allowed to do here the police can get in your business, but Muslims can protest about Christianity with no replicable sanctions, make it make sense!) they would understand that unfettered immigration has consequences.
He's also effectively ended our status as the world leader in biomedical research, amongst other scientific research categories. The courts may restore the funds already promised, but the Republicans have cut future funding. On top of that, there will be a brain-drain of brilliant doctors, scientists, professors and students from abroad who come here to work, study, and contribute to important research, because this is where the money for it has long been. It will take time to fill in the gap. In the interim, people will die because potentially life-saving research was left unfinished.
Let's see how this all shakes out in the longer term. It's only been 7 months, though it seems like an eternity. I'll be cool if you change your view. Or not.PS, I'm extremely concerned that at the same time that Trump might just be making a huge mistake with China and Taiwan, so I reserve the right to change my view on this!Although I do believe that the lessons from the Russia-Ukraine War and the ousting of Xi from power have set back any timelines (barring utter recklessness and miscalculation... remember WW1?)

Although I do believe that the lessons from the Russia-Ukraine War and the ousting of Xi from power have set back any timelines (barring utter recklessness and miscalculation... remember WW1?)
