{"id":3538,"date":"2013-08-24T23:59:42","date_gmt":"2013-08-25T03:59:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/?p=3538"},"modified":"2015-09-20T02:04:46","modified_gmt":"2015-09-20T06:04:46","slug":"luck-of-the-draw-us-open-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/blogs\/jesse-pentecost\/luck-of-the-draw-us-open-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"Luck of the Draw: US Open 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The draw for the US Open has been released in the traditional fashion, which is to write the names of every eligible player on little slips of paper, place them all in an antique cannon in the middle of Arthur Ashe Stadium, and fire them straight up. From there the strong prevailing winds take over, and a player\u2019s placement is determined by where in the tri-state area his name flutters to rest. It is for this reason, one presumes, that the year\u2019s final Major is always contested during hurricane season. Sadly, the USTA has announced that in 2017 there will be roofs over the main stadiums at the Billy Jean King National Tennis Center.\u00a0The US Open will have to find a new way of conducting the ceremony (since it is unthinkable that something as momentous as populating a tournament draw could be achieved without due pomp). It\u2019s always a shame when old traditions disappear.<\/p>\n<p>[divider]<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/forum\/showthread.php?tid=876\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Discuss this article, the match and lots more with fellow tennis fans in the forums.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>[divider]<\/p>\n<p>Of subsidiary interest, the placement of the very highest seeds is decided by where their names fall in relation to David Ferrer\u2019s. As it happened, Rafael Nadal was the luckiest one. We can safely ignore scurrilous rumours that the slips of paper bearing the two Spaniards&#8217; names had been stuck together with adhesive. Meanwhile, Novak Djokovic\u2019s name turned up in Stamford, Connecticut. It could have been worse, I suppose.<\/p>\n<p>Once again we\u2019re invited to marvel at the vagaries of the ATP rankings, especially the situation whereby Andy Murray, reigning US Open (and Wimbledon) champion and eternal saviour of British tennis, is ranked number three in the world. This is one place lower than Nadal, who holds only a single Major (Roland Garros), lost in the first round at Wimbledon, and didn\u2019t even play at the others. It is two places lower than Novak Djokovic, who holds only the Australian Open. As a result the Scot is seeded lower than both those men at the upcoming US Open. As far as the population of the small island positioned off the extreme western coast of the Eurasian landmass is concerned, this is nothing short of a cosmic injustice.<\/p>\n<p>Although Sky Sports have never attained the febrile derangement of their compatriots at the\u00a0<i>Daily Mail<\/i>, they have nonetheless elevated cheerleading on Murray\u2019s behalf into something of an art form, and will reliably ascend to heights of outrage when they feel he\u2019s been hard-done-by. While raucous advocacy presumably doesn\u2019t reflect management\u2019s\u00a0<em>official<\/em>\u00a0position, it certainly isn\u2019t discouraged, and any failure to address Britain\u2019s top player in sufficiently rapturous terms presumably results in disciplinary action. (This policy, incidentally, isn\u2019t limited to Sky: word is that John McEnroe received a stern talking-to from ESPN after he repeatedly excoriated American players on air during last year\u2019s US Open. He and his brother really did go to town on Donald Young one evening. Here in Australia, failure to sing the praises of either Lleyton Hewitt or Bernard Tomic will earn the offender a baleful visit from John Newcombe.) Anyway, Peter Fleming pronounced the latest rankings to be &#8220;crazy&#8221;. Marcus Buckland suggested it &#8220;seemed unfair&#8221;. Others were less circumspect, in each case betraying a deliberate ignorance of how the rankings actually work. It is understandable that the average punter\u2019s knowledge of the sport ends with the Majors \u2013 we shouldn\u2019t necessarily be thrilled at this, and American coverage in particular can grow pathetically grateful at any public interest at all \u2013 but for those paid good money to follow professional tennis from week to week, the Majors should merely be the start. There is no mystery why Nadal is ranked higher than Murray: there\u2019s more to tennis than Grand Slam events.<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, the reason why the second and third seedings matter so much at this US Open is that David Ferrer is seeded fourth. There are probably kinder ways to say it, but the reality is that even when Ferrer was in decent form he represented a more benign semifinal opponent than whomever the alternative happened to be. Right now, however, he is in execrable form, and still troubled by a lingering injury. Not only that, but these are the potential quarterfinal match-ups based on seedings:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Djokovic \u2013 del Potro<\/li>\n<li>Murray \u2013 Berdych<\/li>\n<li>Nadal \u2013 Federer<\/li>\n<li>Ferrer \u2013 Gasquet<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Which of these is not like the others? Any one of Berdych, del Potro, or Federer could have fallen in Ferrer\u2019s quarter, and in each case would have been favoured to reach the last weekend. Alas, it wasn\u2019t to be. So it goes. Let\u2019s just call Ferrer\u2019s quarter a grand opportunity for someone. There are\u00a0<i>nine<\/i>\u00a0qualifiers in this quarter, and four of them are facing each other. I\u2019m going to venture out on an especially shaky limb, and suggest that Dmitry Tursunov&#8217;s time has arrived. Seeded thirty-two, the Russian won\u2019t encounter anyone ranked higher until the third round at the earliest. By wisely choosing to be drawn in Ferrer\u2019s quarter, he has ensured that he won\u2019t face anyone truly terrifying until the semifinals. So pencil him in for that. Gasquet is in there, too, of course, seeded eighth. I could pencil him in for a quarterfinal, but history suggests that would be a waste of graphite. On the small chance that Tursunov doesn\u2019t push all the way through to Super Saturday, I suspect either Milos Raonic or Jerzy Janowicz will. Or Ernests Gulbis, who is now seeded and can thus stop thinking of himself as the world\u2019s most dangerous floater, since it was frankly getting him nowhere. But really it\u2019s anyone\u2019s guess.<\/p>\n<p>Ryan Harrison\u2019s appalling luck at Grand Slam level continues. He has once again drawn a lofty seed early on, in this case Nadal in the opening round. Last year in New York he faced Juan Martin del Potro in the second round. The upshot is that even last year\u2019s modest points will almost certainly go undefended. It\u2019s rotten luck, undoubtedly, though one shouldn\u2019t pretend there aren\u2019t other reasons why Harrison isn\u2019t ranked high enough to elude this kind of misfortune. It\u2019s bound to be a featured night match, and thus a test of McEnroe\u2019s generosity. It\u2019s hard to imagine either Nadal or Federer will suffer upsets before they meet in the quarterfinals, unlike at Wimbledon, where I totally foresaw those early losses to Steve Darcis and Sergiy Stakhovsky, but didn\u2019t want to spoil the surprise.<\/p>\n<p>Only one first round match really stands out \u2013 setting to one side the possibility that those qualifiers will entertainingly pulverise each other in fifth set tiebreaks \u2013 which is the one between Lleyton Hewitt and Brian Baker. Joints creaking and metal pins clanking, they\u2019ll contest the chance to play del Potro. Whoever comes out of all that, it\u2019ll be a triumph for medical science.<\/p>\n<p><em>Credits: Cover Photo: Wallyg, (Creative Commons License)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The draw for the US Open has been released in the traditional fashion, which is to write the names of every eligible player on little slips of paper, place them all in an antique cannon in the middle of Arthur Ashe Stadium, and fire them straight up. From there the strong prevailing winds take over, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":3548,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[332],"tags":[12,336,117,402,346,149,63,78,146,123,197,287],"class_list":["post-3538","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-jesse-pentecost","tag-andy-murray","tag-brian-baker","tag-david-ferrer","tag-dmitry-tursunov","tag-ernests-gulbis","tag-lleyton-hewitt","tag-novak-djokovic","tag-rafael-nadal","tag-richard-gasquet","tag-roger-federer","tag-ryan-harrison","tag-us-open"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3538","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3538"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3538\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3548"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisfrontier.com\/archive\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}