Tag: rafael nadal

  • Cincinnati Western & Southern ATP/WTA Semifinals: Saturday, August 17

    Cincinnati Western & Southern ATP/WTA Semifinals: Saturday, August 17

    [Scores added as known.]

    Center Court – Start 1:00 P.M.

    John Isner (USA) d (7) Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) — 6-7(5), 7-6(9), 6-3

    Not Before 2:30 P.M.
    (4) Rafael Nadal (ESP) d (6) Tomas Berdych (CZE) — 7-5, 7-6(4)

    Not Before 7:00 P.M.
    (1) Serena Williams (USA) d (5) Na Li (CHN) — 7-5, 7-5
    (2) Victoria Azarenka (BLR) d (14) Jelena Jankovic (SRB) — 4-6, 6-2, 6-3

    [divider]

    Grandstand – Start 3:00 P.M.

    (2) Marcel Granollers (ESP) / Marc Lopez (ESP) d (8) Rohan Bopanna (IND) / Edouard Roger-Vasselin (FRA) — 7-5, 6-2

    Not Before 4:30 P.M.
    (1) Bob Bryan (USA) / Mike Bryan (USA) d Santiago Gonzalez (MEX) / Scott Lipsky (USA) — 4-6, 7-6(6), 10-6

    [divider]

    Click here to discuss the Nadal/Berdych semifinal in our discussion forum.

    Click here to discuss the Del Potro/Isner semifinal in our discussion forum.

    Click here to discuss the Serena Williams/Li Na semifinal in our discussion forum.

    Click here to discuss the Azarenka/Jankovic semifinal in our discussion forum.

  • The Curious Case of Rafael Nadal’s Absence and Incredible Comeback Continues

    The Curious Case of Rafael Nadal’s Absence and Incredible Comeback Continues

    The Curious Case of Rafael Nadal’s Absence and Incredible Comeback Continues and in tonight’s quarterfinal he faces defending champion and 5 time Cincinnati titlist, Roger Federer.

    Even though Nadal has won twice as many matches against Federer as he has lost, most of those wins have been on clay, and normally, many would have favored Federer against Nadal on the speedier hard court surface of Cincinatti.

    Just one year ago in Cincinnati, Roger Federer established a Masters 1000 record by being the first player to win a Masters 1000 tournament without being broken in any game. Along the way, the #1 player in the world, Federer, beat a very good Mardy Fish on that day, an excellent Stan Wawrinka the following day, and in the final, dismantled the #2 in the world, Novak Djokovic, with a bagel set and a tiebreak set to win his record 5th Cincinnati title.

    In the meantime Rafael Nadal was in the early stages of his what would be a prolonged 7 month absence from the tour. Prior to Cincinnati last year, he had to withdraw from the 2012 Olympics at Wimbledon and the Toronto edition of the Rogers Cup.

    As the months dragged on, many players and fans were wondering not only how long it would take for Nadal to return to action on the tennis court, but how long it would be before he would be competitive with the top players in the game.

    During the 2013 Australian Open, former world #1 and 8 time major winner Andre Agassi said:

    I found whatever time you take away from the game you need that time to double to be fully where you were when you left, that’s my experience.”

    ”If he comes back in the first half of the year, you won’t see him at his best, historically speaking with my experience, until this tournament next year.” — Read more

    A good example would be the 2009 US Open winner, and world #4 Juan Martin Del Potro, who went out of action after the Australian Open in 2010, not returning until almost October that year after injuring his wrist. But he only played two tournaments in what remained of the year. His ranking dropped down to a low of #485 at the 2011 Australian Open, and he finally returned to the top 10 a year later at the 2012 Australian Open, close to the time frame Andre Agassi indicated.

    But incredibly, and some would say miraculously, Rafael Nadal returned to action in early February of 2013 in South America, where he had only fallen to #5 in the world during his absence, and since then has stormed his way through the tour with 8 titles and 2 finals in 11 tournaments, including his eighth Roland Garros, and 4 masters, 2 on hard courts and 2 on clay. His only real “blip” during this time was on the fresh grass of Wimbledon where he was upset in the first round by Steve Darcis. A little over a year after he left the tour, and about 6 months after his return, he has returned to #3 in the world. It is theoretically possible for him to ascend to #1 in the world if he wins in Cincinnati and the US Open.

    American veteran Mardy Fish, who is relatively early in his comeback after his heart problems forced him to stop, had this to say after losing to Philipp Kohlschreiber in the first round of Cincinnati this year:

    Fish:

    I feel all right, I just have an awful long way to go tennis wise,” said Fish. “It just kind of shows you how amazing Rafa (Nadal) has been coming back after seven months off. To do what he’s done is just not normal.” — Read More

    So we have a clearly above normal Nadal playing against a Federer who has said that this is a transition year for him, and who has won a only a single title this year on the grass in Halle and lost in his last 3 tournaments to players ranked 116, 114, and 55.

    What will the result of tonight’s match be?

    A Roger Federer win in Cincinnati would normally not be considered surprising, but this year is anything but normal. Roger will have to conjure up last year’s form to have a good chance of beating Rafa, or Rafa will have to suddenly fall apart. I don’t see either happening, but on any given day in tennis, anything is possible. If this year’s happenings are any indication, the match should be anything but normal, but one hopes it is entertaining.

    [divider]

    Dicuss the Nadal/Federer Quarter-Final at the Cincinnati Masters on our tennis forum.

  • Cincinnati Western & Southern ATP/WTA Schedule/Scores: Friday, August 16

    Cincinnati Western & Southern ATP/WTA Schedule/Scores: Friday, August 16

    [Scores added as known.]

    CENTER COURT — Start 11:00 A.M.

    (7) Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) d (Q) Dmitry Tursunov (RUS) — 6-4, 3-6, 6-1

    John Isner (USA) d (1) Novak Djokovic (SRB) — 7-6(5), 3-6, 7-5

    Not Before 3:00 P.M.
    (1) Serena Williams (USA) d Simona Halep (ROU) — 6-0, 6-4

    Not Before 7:00 P.M.
    (4) Rafael Nadal (ESP) d (5) Roger Federer (SUI) — 5-7, 6-4, 6-3

    Not Before 8:30 P.M.
    (2) Victoria Azarenka (BLR) d (10) Caroline Wozniacki (DEN) — 6-3, 7-6(5)

    [divider]

    GRANDSTAND — Start 11:00 A.M.

    (2) Marcel Granollers (ESP) / Marc Lopez (ESP) d Mariusz Fyrstenberg (POL) / Marcin Matkowski (POL) — 6-4, 6-2

    Not Before 1:00 P.M.
    (14) Jelena Jankovic (SRB) d (12) Roberta Vinci (ITA) — 6-0, 6-4

    Not Before 3:00 P.M.
    (6) Tomas Berdych (CZE) d (2) Andy Murray (GBR) — 6-3, 6-4

    Not Before 7:00 P.M.
    Anna-Lena Groenefeld (GER) / Kveta Peschke (CZE) d Julia Goerges (GER) / Barbora Zahlavova Strycova (CZE) — 6-3, 6-2

    [divider]

    COURT 3 — Start 12:00 noon

    (8) Rohan Bopanna (IND) Edouard Roger-Vasselin (FRA) d (4) Leander Paes (IND) / Radek Stepanek (CZE) — 6-3, 6-7(3), 10-8

    (3) Su-Wei Hsieh (TPE) / Shuai Peng (CHN) d Ekaterina Makarova (RUS) / Elena Vesnina (RUS) — 6-1, 3-6, 10-3

    Not Before 4:00 P.M.
    (1) Bob Bryan (USA) / Mike Bryan (USA) d James Blake (USA) / Steve Johnson (USA) — 6-2, 6-4

  • Strong Believers

    Strong Believers

    Western & Southern Open, ATP Third Round

    [1] Novak Djokovic def. [Q] David Goffin 6-2, 6-0
    [5] Roger Federer def. [11] Tommy Haas 1-6, 7-5, 6-3
    [2] Andy Murray def. Julien Benneteau 6-2, 6-2
    [4] Rafael Nadal def. Grigor Dimitrov 6-2, 5-7, 6-2

    ESPN, Inc., formerly the Entertainment and Sports Programming Network Rulers of the Universe, has a way of making its fellow cable network, The Tennis Channel, look like it has the earnings potential of an independent bookseller—an independent used-bookstore with a leaky roof and a big CD section. I could watch Cincinnati tennis on two different ESPN stations today, while the Tennis Channel was stuck re-airing the Kooyong Classic from 2004. But, I could watch ESPN today, because today was a happy work-at-home paperwork-day. (This is a special kind of day, similar to a holiday. Sadly, it is also a type of day that has become all too rare in recent months.)

    Aside from making the Tennis Channel feel bad about itself, ESPN also has a way of reminding American tennis fans exactly how unimportant their sport-of-choice is in the grand scheme of chosen sports. Today they managed it by regulating Rafael Nadal and Grigor Dimitrov to ESPN3, an online stream, while airing Little League on television. Yes, a 1000-level ATP tournament contested on U.S. soil (specifically in the Western & Southern portion of the U.S.) took a back seat to eight-year-olds standing in a meadow chewing bubble gum. A match featuring one of the best players in tennis history versus the only active player on tour to be nicknamed after one of the other best players in tennis history was shunted aside by actual baby athletes.

    But I digress. Hmm. Why was I telling you about the ESPN programming schedule? Oh yes, for metaphorical purposes! And I’ll come to those in a moment, I promise. Everybody loves a metaphor. But first, since I’m on the subject of ESPN, I want to say a few words about ESPN commentator, Darren Cahill.

    In fact, you can consider this post my formal petition for Darren Cahill to take full coaching responsibility for Marion Bartoli’s post-retirement commentary career. Because, really, with Cahill in the booth, the video stream is almost optional. It isn’t simply that Darren Cahill mostly confines his commentary to the match at hand; it’s that his comments are so sensible. Indeed, when he has nothing sensible to say, he seems to say nothing at all. (Psychotherapists love this trait in their sportscasters.)

    For instance, during set one of Roger Federer’s three-set victory over Tommy Haas, Cahill wasted little time in the usual speculation about whether Roger was actually Federer, or if this Roger might not be an imitation version of the Swiss who had never learned to play tennis. Instead, he commented that Federer was more than typically nervous, rushing himself into poor decisions, mostly involving losing points at the net. Cahill also noted that Tommy Haas’s court position on the return was taking the out-wide serve from Roger forcing him into uncomfortable choices, and that Haas’s returns—flat and hard, down the middle of the court—were the best strategy to draw errors from Papa Fed.

    At some point in the middle of Nadal/Dimitrov match— the point when the Bulgarian ran down a drop shot, hit a winner, and then jumped into the air with glee—Darren Cahill chortled warmly, saying, “Goodness me, he’s fun to watch.” With Cahill in the ESPN booth, it’s also fun to listen.

    OK. That turned out to be an official second digression, which might be some type of digressive record, if such records were tracked. (I tried to keep track once, but I kept getting distracted.) So, without further ado, the metaphorical section of the post, wherein I compare the Big Four—defined herein as Djokovic, Nadal, Murray and Federer*— to ESPN, or perhaps Amazon.com, and their opponents to a cross between the Tennis Channel and various indie booksellers.

    [divider]

    Novak Djokovic d. David Goffin 6-2, 6-0

    The first men’s match on Center Court today was Novak Djokovic versus David Goffin. During Djokovic’s match, morning-time for me, I listened to my voicemail, ate a bagel, and blinked, twice. By the time I’d finished, it was all over. The second set took approximately five minutes and Goffin won exactly zero games. Djokovic, on the other hand, won six. Every time I had the opportunity to glance at my monitor I was treated to the sight of a blonde Belgian standing roughly fifty feet behind the baseline, and lunging in the general direction of a tennis ball.

    Goffin made his way to the third round via a 6-1, 6-1 win over Mackenzie McDonald, who is the first non-ranked ATP player to qualify for the main draw in Cincinnati. Ever. Mackenzie hails from Piedmont, California, an American hill-town so wealthy that it seceded from its surrounding city-state, which is a rough-and-tumble place called Oakland. Piedmont has a very tidy set of public courts. It is doubtful Mackenzie makes much use of them. In the second round, David Goffin bested last week’s Rogers Cup semifinalist Vasek Pospisil, 7-5, 1-6, 7-6. Neither of these victories offers exquisite insight into Goffin’s current form. Nor did today’s loss. Djokovic didn’t let him near the tennis ball. The Serb is looking fearsome.

    Djokovic has never won the Western & Southern Open. Conquering Mason, Ohio, would make him the only ATP player to win all nine of the Masters titles. I Googled No. 9 and it turns out to be – according to the internet’s most reputable numerology sites — “the number of destiny.” Wikipedia also defines nine as the number that follows eight and precedes ten. Make of that what you will.

    [divider]

    Roger Federer d. Tommy Haas 1-6, 7-5, 6-3

    Given that Federer spent a goodly portion of his third round match looking as if he were concerned that sustained rallies might damage his antique tennis racquet, you might be surprised that I’ve listed him among the metaphorically ESPN-esque players of the day. But—and I think I’m right about this—part of the reason Federer was able to come back and win the match from 1-6, 1-3 down is precisely because he is Roger Federer, or RF, Inc., for short. No matter how low the RF stock plunges, there is always a chance that his opponents will remember that they are up against a 17-time slam champion. (Sometimes, there is even opportunity for Federer to remember this, too, especially when he’s not wearing his special “warming shirt” and is therefore capable of hitting serves.)

    In Tommy Haas’s case, he must have also been aware of his 3-11 (now 3-12) career head-to-head against Federer. A tennis fan doesn’t need a numerology site to tell her that numbers like that can get in a player’s head. Nonetheless, the German got off to a stellar start, and looked as if he could continue being outstanding all day. Meanwhile, Federer proceeded to go from OK, to distinctly not OK, to much worse than that. By the end of the first set even his serve had abandoned him, protesting its owner’s wild net-rushing ways.

    But, midway through the second set the Cincinnati fans got to witness one of the marvels of today’s interdependent tennis economy. At very nearly the same moment in time, Federer began to produce his money shots, while Tommy’s currency took a sudden nosedive. Haas started his descent by re-gifting an early break back to Roger, leveling the set at 4-4. Federer consolidated, making one small fist pump in the process. Haas then gave away three straight points, which turned out to be set points, so he changed his mind and took them back. The set was still level at 5-5, but the momentum now rested with Federer.

    By the time the No. 5 seed closed out the match—an excellent drop shot to bring up match point, and a forehand winner to end it—Roger Federer looked like he had some measure of his aura back. (If you looked closely, you could even see it, shimmering in the Cincy sun — a pretty cornflower blue.) After the match, Federer was quoted as saying he is a “strong believer” he’s on the right path. Should Federer lose in the quarters, there’s still no proving him wrong. Even the most vintage version of Roger Federer could be excused for losing to Rafael Nadal at his most passionate™.

    [divider]

    Andy Murray d. Julien Benneteau 6-2, 6-2

    OK, I admit I did not see one ball of Murray’s win over Julien Benneteau. (I had to do some actual work today.) Andy Murray had to do some work, too — exactly one hour, nine minutes, and two seconds’ worth. Since I have no observations to make about this match, I’ll guess (blogger prerogative): the Scot is much improved this week from last. He is also the reigning Wimbledon Champion and the defending US Open Champion. He is a factor, whether he is happy about it or not.

    [divider]

    Rafael Nadal d. Grigor Dimitrov 6-2, 5-7, 6-2

    Nadal’s three-set defeat of Grigor Dimitrov was an exciting match, or might have been if I weren’t watching it while also trying to cook dinner for four. It is not easy being a Rafa fan, chopping vegetables, and watching a 6-2, 5-3 lead slip entirely away. In such moments one needs to be especially careful not to accidentally include small pieces of oneself in with the chopped kale and beans. (It’s what people like to eat in Northern California, I swear.)

    At some point during the first set, Darren Cahill said (sensibly), that, under pressure, Grigor Dimitrov had a tendency to abandon a winning strategy. As if Dimitrov knew he was being discussed, he demonstrated the truth of Cahill’s observation by gaining a hard-fought advantage in a long rally and proceeding to back it up by backing up, way up—deep into Goffin territory—losing the point because he couldn’t track down an inside-out forehand from Nadal. Case in point.

    However, when the Bulgarian made a mighty last stand, which came, as last stands will do, near the end of the second set, it turned out to be Nadal who abandoned his winning strategy. Instead of aggressively going for winners off his forehand, backhand, serves, and volleys, he mostly did not go for winners off all those same shots. When he did, he missed. Grigor, meanwhile, became good fun to watch.

    Fortunately for Rafa, he is, at the moment, well in touch with his trademark inner-passion for the game. As with Federer, you can see it in his aura, which shines bright yellow, and looks not unlike an incandescent tennis ball in the shape of a T-shirt. Even at night, the brilliant glow helps Rafa find anything from a moth resting its wings on the service-line to an aggressive baseline strategy. Having located his strategy Rafael Nadal, being Rafael Nadal, broke to open the third set. There were close games and see-saw moments in Set No. 3, but Nadal never relinquished the break. Why should he? He’s Rafa.

    [divider]

    At the beginning of Roger Federer’s match he was pronounced by many (many times over) to appear “not at all like Federer.” By the time he won, his play was dubbed “vintage Federer.” True Federer. (Though he was still far from full-flow-Federer, which is even truer than truth.) It fascinates me how often top players are defined as playing “like themselves.” It isn’t just linguistic laziness, or I don’t think it is. The technique is descriptive. If you tell me Djokovic was playing like Djokovic, I don’t picture baseline errors. No, I think it’s to do with how frequently the Big Four are able to channel their best selves, which — and this applies to all of us — is the truest version of the self. I am a strong believer in that.

    And because I’ve used up my entire allotment of words, including half my allowance for next week, I’ll end with mentioning players who deserved more mention: John Isner, Dmitry Tursunov, Juan Martin del Potro, and Tomas Berdych. Each man won a match today, and tomorrow they play Novak Djokovic, each other, and Andy Murray, respectively. I wish every one of them strong belief. I also wish tomorrow were another special stay-at-home-paper-work-day. So I could watch.

    *The Top Four (as opposed to the Big Four) includes Djokovic, Murray, Nadal, and David Ferrer, who is having a terrible time moving around tennis courts lately. I have to think it’s at least partly due to the damage done to his ankle at Wimbledon. The Spaniard tried so hard to give his second round match away to Ryan Harrison, but the American refused to take it. (Respect for his elders, and whatnot.) As a consequence, David Ferrer has now been Tursunoved twice this season. But it’s worth noting that last time he lost to the Russian was in Barcelona, mere weeks before he reached the French Open final.

  • Nadal Beats Raonic to Win Rogers Cup / Canada Masters 1000

    Nadal Beats Raonic to Win Rogers Cup / Canada Masters 1000

    Rafael Nadal topped his own record in Masters Series titles with win at Rogers Cup in Montreal.

    [divider]

    Rafa won his 25th title at the ATP 1000 level with today’s win over local favorite, Milos Raonic.  The Canadian was making his first appearance in a Masters 1000 final.  In stark contrast to last night’s semifinal against Novak Djokovic, Nadal was in firm control. After breaking Raonic’s service in the first game, the outcome of the match never seemed in doubt.  Raonic’s big weapon, his serve, let him down, as he got broken twice in each set, and only saw break points on Nadal’s serve in one game, in the second set, but failed to convert.  The final score was 6-2, 6-2.

    This was the Spaniard’s 3rd title at this tournament.  The win puts his W-L count to 47-3 for the year, and gives him his 8th title, and 7th Masters trophy at a hard court event.  He now has a commanding lead in the year-to-date point totals, with 8,010.  (Djokovic is in second place with 6,590.)

    [divider]

    Click here to discuss the Nadal/Raonic Rogers Cup final with fellow tennis fans in our discussion forum.

  • Nadal Prevails Over Djokovic in Epic Rogers Cup Semifinal

    Nadal Prevails Over Djokovic in Epic Rogers Cup Semifinal

    Reversing expectations, and changing the conversation about the upcoming US Open, Rafael Nadal beat Novak Djokovic tonight in their semifinal at the Rogers Cup: 6-4, 3-6, 7-6(2).  It was their first meeting on hard-courts since their epic final at the Australian Open, won by Djokovic, who was hugely favored to win here.  It was also their 36th meeting, tying the Open Era record set by John McEnroe and Ivan Lendl.  Nadal leads the head-to-head 21-15, which matches Lendl’s record over McEnroe.

    Djokovic started sluggishly, the wind possibly a factor, and Nadal broke in the first game.  Djokovic had break points in the second, which possibly set the tone for a long slog, though Nadal prevailed in that game.  Nadal was the dominant player through the first set, but Djokovic broke back with Rafa serving for the set at 5-2, to make things interesting.  On the second time of asking, however, on his serve, Nadal closed it out.

    By the 2nd set, the wind had died down, and Djokovic seemed dialed in, his serve clicking.  From there, it became a dog-fight, and a minor classic.  They fought each other tooth and nail, with many thrilling exchanges until the seemingly inevitable  tiebreak in the 3rd.  Surprisingly, Nadal went up 6-0 before Djokovic countered with two points of his own. Too little, too late, though, and Nadal walked away the better man on the day.

    In the earlier semifinal, Milos Raonic defeated fellow Canadian Vasek Pospisil 6-4, 1-6, 7-6(4) to get to the final of the Rogers Cup today.  He will face Nadal in the final.  In three encounters, Raonic has never beaten Nadal.  Win or lose tomorrow, though, he will still break into the top 10 for the first time when the ATP rankings come out on Monday.

    Oddly, the only time that Nadal and Djokovic have played as a doubles team they played here, at the Rogers Cup, in 2010.  They lost to a Canadian wild card team:  Milos Raonic and Vasek Pospisil, all four being the last standing in this year’s Rogers Cup.

    [divider]

    Click here to discuss the Nadal/Djokovic semifinal with other tennis fans in our discussion forum.

  • Rogers Cup Semifinals Schedule/Scores

    Rogers Cup Semifinals Schedule/Scores

    Today’s ATP matches [See below for WTA] Scores added as known.

    Not before 3:00 P.M.
    (11) M Raonic (CAN) d (WC) V Pospisil (CAN) — 6-4, 1-6, 7-6(4)

    Not before 8:00 P.M.
    (4) R Nadal (ESP) d (1) N Djokovic (SRB) — 6-4, 3-6, 7-6(2)

    [divider]

    Today’s WTA matches. Scores added as known.

    Not before 1:00 P.M.
    S Cirstea (ROU) d (4) N Li (CHN) — 6-1, 7-6(5)

    Not before 6:30 P.M.
    (1) S Williams (USA) d (3) A Radwanska (POL) — 7-6(3), 6-4

    [divider]

    Click here to discuss the Nadal/Djokovic semifinal with fellow tennis fans.

    Click here to discuss the Raonic/Pospisil semifinal with fellow tennis fans.

    Click here to discuss the women’s semifinals with fellow tennis fans.

  • Visual Depiction of Big Four (+2) Dominance

    Visual Depiction of Big Four (+2) Dominance

    [divider]

    Click here to discuss this with fellow tennis fans in our discussion forum.

    [divider]

    Note: I received a couple requests to post this to the blog – which I’ve neglected thus far – so I thought I’d take the opportunity to get the gears turning and post some entries. Expect more of the same – statistical analysis and historical surveys. 

    I thought it would be interesting to create a chart that depicts the levels of dominance of the “Big Four” over the last decade. With apologies to Tomas Berdych and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, I’ve included David Ferrer and Juan Martin Del Potro to flesh it out a bit with a couple from the next tier of players.

    The graph might be a bit confusing at first but I think the key is to focus on each player’s line to see how it changes, then go to the next player, etc, and then put it all together.

    What do the numbers mean? They are the average of how many matches a player won per Slam played in a particular year. This does NOT include Slams a player didn’t enter, nor does it include qualification victories or take note of walkovers. The key is simple: 2R = 1, 3R = 2, 4R = 3, QF = 4, SF = 5, F = 6, W = 7. So, for example, Andy Murray was in the Final at the Australian Open (6), missed the French Open, and won Wimbledon (7). I am not penalizing him for missing Roland Garros as that would inaccurately reflect his actual performance, so the total of 13 is divided by 2, for an average of 6.5.
    It should go without saying that not all Slam rounds are equal, which this method implies. But this system is not an attempt to measure overall greatness via Slam results – I’ve done that in past forum posts and may resuscitate my methodology here in the future – but to look at the players relative to each other.

    So here’s the chart (click on it to make it large enough to decipher):

    20130709051732

    A few things pop out to me:

    • Notice that Andy Murray (green) is the only player to equal or improve his results from each year – his line just keeps getting better and better.
    • We can see that Roger Federer’s phase of dominance is quite clear: 2004-2009, with Rafael Nadal equaling him in 2008.
    • The downward trend for Roger and Rafa is alarming. Obviously it is skewed by their early exits in Wimbledon, but I don’t think we can discount that as an anomaly. This strongly indicates that both players are in decline – yes, Rafa as well as Roger.
    • Contrary to a view I hear occasionally, Novak in 2012-13 is not the same player he was before 2011; he isn’t quite as good as in 2011, but he’s definitely a notch above 2010 and before – at least according to his Slam results, which I think is the single most important indicator of a player’s level.
    • It is interesting to note Ferrer’s dip in 2009-2010, and then his resurgence in 2011 until the present – his best tennis so far. A rare career trajectory.
    • As for Del Potro, we can see that in 2009 he surpassed Andy and Novak and then dealt with injuries. Hopefully he can get back there, although it may be too much to expect a truly elite season (which we could define as >5, or averaging more than a SF in each Slam).

    What does this chart tell us in general? It supports what we all likely already know, that the “Fedal Era” is over and has been over for a couple years now – at least in terms of their shared dominance. It also suggests that Andy Murray – at least in 2013 thus far – is right there with Novak Djokovic. If we consider the “Fedal Era” to be 2005-2010, given the age of “Djokurray” (both 26), it seems unlikely it will last as long, but we can say it is 2011-13 so far, with possibly another year or two ahead.

  • The Other Upset – Lleyton Hewitt and The New Toe

    The Other Upset – Lleyton Hewitt and The New Toe

    Click here to discuss this and more with fellow tennis fans.

    [divider]

    While the tennis world reeled over Steve Darcis taking out Rafael Nadal in the first round of Wimbledon, Lleyton Hewitt scored arguably the “other” upset of the day.  Hewitt is 32, ranked 70 in the world, and he took out Stan Wawrinka, the 11th seed, 10th ranked player in the world, and one who’s been having a very fine year.  And he did it in straight sets:  6-4, 7-5, 6-3.

    Hewitt is a former Wimbledon champion (2002, as well as winner of the USO, 2001), and former world #1, but he has been hampered by injuries over more than a few years.  Grass, however, can sometimes keep him in the game.  He beat Roger Federer in the final at Halle as recently as 2010.  For that reason, tennis fans looked at this to be a barn-burner of a first round match.  The shock wasn’t completely that Hewitt pulled it off, but that it didn’t go to 4 or 5 sets.

    The reason may be Hewitt’s most recent, and most radical surgery.  He revealed last month that he’s had his left toe reconstructed and irreversibly surgically fused.  He is now pain-free in his push-off foot, but he had the surgery knowing that it was possible that he’d never play tennis again.  According to his team, this allows him to return full-time to the tour, which he still has ambitions about.  And Lleyton Hewitt is an ambitious man.  Moreover, he has reason to fancy his chances on grass.  He’s unlikely to go very deep in this Wimbledon, but a few players in his direct path over the next couple of rounds would be right to be nervous.

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    In Tues. results, both #1’s got through in straights:  Serena cruised, while Novak was tested by a game Florian Mayer.  British hope Laura Robson upset #10 seed Maria Kirilenko, while another Brit, Heather Watson, lost to the US’s Madison Keys.  And another US hopeful, Brittany Mattek-Sands, fell to the #7, Angelique Kerber.

  • Belgian Waffled: Rafael Nadal Loses in the 1st Round to Steve Darcis

    Belgian Waffled: Rafael Nadal Loses in the 1st Round to Steve Darcis

    Two-time Wimbledon Champion Rafael Nadal suffered a shocking 1st round loss at Wimbledon today, losing to the Belgian Steve Darcis, 7-6(4), 7-6(8), 6-4.

    It was the first time the Spaniard ever lost in the 1st Round of a Grand Slam, and the first tournament since his comeback that he didn’t make the final.

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